Mousami Reached Kerla, Meteorological Department estimates - this time it will rain 101%

 

Monsoon has knocked in Kerala on Thursday. After fulfilling all its parameters, the Meteorological Department has announced the arrival of monsoon in Kerala. Conditions for the Southwest Monsoon to reach Kerala had started forming a few days back. However, this time the monsoon is 2 days behind schedule. But the Meteorological Department (IMD) estimates that this time the rain will be 101% better than normal. There will also be a possibility of it being more or less 4%.

Monsoon had knocked in Andaman on 21st May. After crossing half of Sri Lanka and Maldives on May 27, the northern boundary of the monsoon remained in the Comorin Sea for 7 days due to lack of strong winds. Pre-monsoon rains are continuing in Kerala for the last 4 days. On Wednesday, satellite images showed cloudy skies over the coastal areas and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea. The Meteorological Department (IMD) says that there has been an increase in the distribution of rain in Kerala. Westerly winds are blowing in the lower levels of the South Sea.

 

When will monsoon reach major states

Maharashtra: June 10

Chhattisgarh: 15 June

Madhya Pradesh : 20 June

Gujarat: 20 June

Rajasthan: 30 June

These are the 3 parameters of declaration of monsoon

1. 60% of the 14 weather stations in Kerala, Lakshadweep and Karnataka should receive more than 2.5 mm of rain for two consecutive days after May 10.

2. The westerly winds started blowing up to 4.5 km above the ground surface, its speed near the surface would be 30 to 35 km / h.

3. The thickness of the clouds should be so much that the radiation returning from the ground to the sky is less than 200 W/sqm.

For the first time on Tuesday, the IMD had also released the forecast for the monsoon rains in the country's core monsoon region (rain-based core region). This time the region will receive 106% rainfall. Dr. Mrityunjay Mohapatra, Director General, Meteorological Department said that in the Statistical Ensemble Forecasting System, during the four months of monsoon, 96 to 104% of the average rainfall i.e. 40% chance of normal monsoon was found. There is a 22% chance of being above normal and an 18% chance of being below normal. On the basis of this model, the normal (92-108%) monsoon over North West India (Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan, Western Uttar Pradesh), Central India (Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh Maharashtra, Goa, Odisha, Gujarat) would receive above normal (106%), southern plateau (Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Puducherry) would receive normal (93 to 107%) rains.

106% rain forecast in MP, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Gujarat

According to IMD, Northeast (East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Assam, Meghalaya, Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Tripura, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram) and Monsoon Core Zone (Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Odisha, There is a chance of 106% rain in Rajasthan, Telangana, North Karnataka, Jharkhand).

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C Prime Bureau